Michigan will play Michigan State for a championship this afternoon but attention will turn to the NCAA Tournament Selection Show minutes after the final horn. There’s hardware on the line in Chicago, but the games next week are even more important.Don’t miss out! For just $2.50/month you can get exhaustive Michigan basketball coverage throughout the NCAA Tournament. Sign up today with promo code BRACKET.
Where will Michigan be seeded and where will it play? Here’s a look at the latest bracketology projections across the internet.
Michigan is close to a consensus 2-seed in most bracket projections, but there are still a few 3-seed projections out there. Most brackets that have Michigan pegged as a 3-seed have Houston as the final 2 seed. The Wolverines average seed rank is a 2.15 across the Bracket Matrix, which puts them at No. 8 overall on the consensus seeding curve.
Most projections still have Michigan headed to play first-round games in Des Moines, but there’s a degree of randomness to location selection that is tough to project.
Here’s where Michigan stands in notable bracket projections:
- Bracket Matrix: 2 seed (8th on seeding-curve) — Mar 17th
- Joe Lunardi/ESPN: 2 seed vs. Montana (Des Moines/Washington D.C.) — Mar 17th
- Jerry Palm/CBS: 2 seed vs. Colgate (Hartford/Anaheim) — Mar 17th
- Joseph Cook-Shugart/1-3-1 Sports: 2 seed vs. Abilene Christian (Des Moines/Washington D.C.)— Mar 16th
- Andy Bottoms: 2 seed vs. Gardner Webb (Des Moines/Anaheim) — Mar 17th
- Sports Illustrated: 2 seed vs. Abilene Christian (Washington D.C.) –– Mar. 17th
- Bracketville: 2 seed vs. Colgate (Des Moines/Washington D.C.) — Mar 17th
- FOX Sports: 2 seed vs. Vermont (Washington D.C.) — Mar. 17th
Ask the Expert
Joseph Cook-Shugart of 1-3-1 Sports had the best bracket projection in 2018 and is ranked among the best bracketologists on the internet. He’s agreed to answer a few questions in each Bracket Watch as we get closer to Selection Sunday.
1. Is Michigan locked into a 2-seed regardless of Sunday’s result?
There is a remote chance (<5% chance) that Michigan could move up to a 1 seed if all the stars align, but as a fan, I wouldn’t hold your breath. Michigan is pretty much locked in to a 2-seed at this point. However, the game is not without relevance. Michigan State is likely also on the 2-seed line, the result of tomorrow’s game may very well shift what location and 1-seed Michigan draws in their regional.
2. Why isn’t Michigan State receiving more consideration for a 1-seed given its quality wins?
I don’t think it’s a knock on Michigan State so much as it’s a credit to the quality of top-tier teams this year. The resume’s of the top 8 teams are all quite good. I think getting swept by Indiana and losing at Illinois (3 losses to non-tournament caliber teams) is something that really hurts the Spartans. I think Michigan State will be in the discussion for a 1-seed if they beat Michigan tomorrow, but I still think they likely end up on the 2-seed line.
The late start of the Big Ten Tournament final also doesn’t benefit the participants. The committee seems to like having all their ducks in a row well in advance, and shifting a team in the bracket and adhering to the rules and procedures less than an hour before the selection show is a time crunch. They claim that they have contingency bracketing in place pending results, but I’m skeptical as to the magnitude of changes they’re willing to make late in the process.
3. What is your prediction for biggest Selection Sunday surprise?
I’m about to set the record for the biggest cop-out answer you have ever received. The biggest Selection Sunday surprise is going to be that there won’t be any major surprises. I think with the committee’s reliance on NET and the tournament selection and seeding procedures becoming more transparent in recent years, we’re going to see less and less in terms of surprises.