College basketball season tips off Monday, so it’s time for the annual over/under preview pod! Dylan and Eric get ready for the season by calling their shot on an array of over/under props focused on Michigan’s results, rankings, personnel, rotation, and individual player stats.
As always, you can join in the fun on the website and vote with your picks.
Team: KenPom / Efficiency Stats
KenPom overall: 28th, better or worse
Block rate: 12%, better or worse (3rd last year)
Defensive rebounding rate: 28.5% opposition ORR, better or worse (70th last year)
Offensive rebounding %: 32.5% (34.7, 55th last year)
3PA/FGA: 46.5% (41.4% last year; ~54% in exhibitions)
Team 3P%: 35.5% (36.8 last year; 30.5% in exhibitions)
Team turnover %: 15.5 (16.3 last year)
Average 2PA distance: 5.0 ft (4.8, 20th last year)
Team: Rotation & Depth
8.5 players averaging 10+ MPG (9 each of the last three years; 10 cleared it in exhibitions)
3.5 players averaging double-digit PPG
4.5 players with a 20+ point game
5.5 KenPom MVPs, team total (5 last year)
Players
Roddy Gayle
32% from 3
5.5 twenty-point games — “March Roddy to All-Season Roddy”
Elliot Cadeau
6.5 APG (48.1 assist rate in exhibitions)
37.5% 3P% (37.6 last year)
21.5% turnover rate (21.6 last year; 12.7 in exhibitions)
3.5 games fouled out (6.9 FC/40 in exhibitions)
Trey McKenney
15.5 PPG (15.7 in exhibitions on 31.6% of shots)
37.5% from 3
53.5% on 2s
Moustapha Thiam
8 rebounds per game
12.5% assist rate (17.6 in exhibitions)
0.75 made 3-pointers per game
JP Estrella
10.5 PPG (10.0 in exhibitions)
60.5 MP% (57.9 in exhibitions, started all three)
0.5 3PM/GM
Ricky Liburd
12.5 MPG (13 in exhibitions, two starts)
5.5 double-digit scoring games
Quinn Costello
45.5 total 3PM
Kendall Noland
2 APG (23.3 assist rate at 18.6 MPG in exhibitions)
Others
Reed: 35.5 MP% (32.9 in exhibitions); 14 MPG
Boynton Contract Incentives
23.5 regular-season wins
4.5 Big Ten finish, ties included
0.5 Big Ten Tournament titles
1.5 NCAA Tournament wins
1.5 of the four milestones above reached this year
Team: Record & Results
12.5 conference wins
1.5 wins in Vegas
2.5 wins over Ohio State + Michigan State combined
Postseason & Honors
5.5 NCAA Tournament seed
0.5 banners/trophies — Players Era, B1G regular season, BTT, regional, national
1.5 Michigan players on All-Big Ten 1st team
3.5 Michigan players on any of the three All-Big Ten teams
MichiganMan2424
Love that I managed to see this only after I finished doing some yard work. Guess this will be a breakfast pod instead